You can almost see the talon marks on the crossbar.
Published on July 13, 2004 By O G San In International
Sometimes I think I must have amnesia. Recently I've noticed some in the pro-war camp attempting to put about the notion that the conflict in Iraq wasn't really about WMD after all. With the absence of those stockpiles of nasty weapons, they have tried to pretend that the case for their aggression in the Middle East did not rest on Saddam's non-conventional capabilities. This is rubbish.

I don't have amnesia. I remember the run-up to war well. The fact is that the war in Iraq was about WMD. It was about a threat of non-conventional attack by Saddam which was so grave, so imminent that, apparently, only immediate, pre-emptive invasion could prevent it. This was the crux of the case for war as it was presented by the hawks in London and Washington.

To argue otherwise is to indulge in the crudest historical revisionism and, quite frankly, to insult the intelligence. I know that we live in a world where many people, especially the young, know next to nothing about history. I know that many of us flick idly from channel to channel, with all the concentration of a goldfish. But surely, even in a worldlike this, anyyone who is remotely politically conscious can remember "all" the way back to late 2002/early 2003 when the war drums were being beaten by Bush, Blair et al. Surely everyone can recall that the threat posed by Saddam's WMD was the principle justification for going to war. I really do despair if this is not the case.

Of course there were other arguments used to try to win support for the approaching invasion - that Saddam's regime was evil, that a new democratic Iraq would emerge from the rubble, even, bizzarely, that war would help to restore the UN's credibility. But these, and other reasons, were very much secondary to the WMD issue. They were extras - useful but not essential.

The over-riding reason for the need for war was always presented as Saddam's WMDs. This was the issue on which the "coalition's" flimsy legal argument hung. This was the issue which was used to convince/terrify sections of public and political opinion in both the US and UK into supporting the war. If Congress and the House of Commons had known then what they know now about Iraq's non-conventional capabilities they would not, in my view, have green-lighted the war.

So, the absence of those promised for stockpiles is a serious issue for hawks, and one they can not collevctively doge by cack-handed attempts at revisionism. I have no problem accepting that, for this or that hawk, "it was never about WMDs". I have no problem accepting that some people supported the war mainly because they wanted Saddam gone, or because they thought it was trhe best way to bring democracy to the Middle East. But the individual preferences of hawks does not change how those in power justified the march to war.

As long as WMDs do not turn up in the quantities promised pre-war (and even diehards in Washington an London have begun to accept that they won't) then we are left with one of only two conclusions. Either Bush, Blair, Berlusconi, Howard et al made an honest mistake in believing that Saddam had stockpiles of WMDs or else they deliberately distorted the intelligence available in order to scare parliaments and publics into supporting a war on which they were already hell-bent. Either way, it raises serious questions about their fitness to continue governing.

They should all now be "considering their positions". If, as seems inevitable, they will not go voluntarily, it is up to the voting public to do the job for them.

Comments
on Jul 13, 2004
O G:
The question to consider is: Why are they moving the goalposts? President Bush made a speech in Tennesee yesterday (7/12) and used the phrase "We are safer" 8 times in the same speech. This signals to me that we are now going to be inundated by the neocons who wil argue, regardless of the truth or history or reality we must accept Bush because his leadership means we don't have bombs raining down on our homes and cities.
So here is my question: Would Kerry do anything different to protect us?
on Jul 13, 2004
If WMD were found, would you support the war?
on Jul 14, 2004
CrispE,

I'm no great Kerry fan. He voted for the war.

As for America being safer, this is presumably a joke.

Madine,

The short answer to your question is "no".

Please excuse my terseness, it's late.
on Jul 14, 2004

. I provided links to pretty much every article I wrote advocating why we should go into Iraq before the war and none of them were because of WMD stockpiles.

Nice try though.

on Jul 14, 2004
Either Bush, Blair, Berlusconi, Howard et al made an honest mistake in believing that Saddam had stockpiles of WMDs or else they deliberately distorted the intelligence available in order to scare parliaments and publics into supporting a war on which they were already hell-bent.


There is substantial proof that the latter is closer to the truth. The Bush administration made claims that were clearly disputed by intelligence at the time they made them. They outright lied in some cases. Great article.
on Jul 14, 2004
O G:
No, it wasn't intended as a joke. The "assumption" is that Kerry would be "soft" on terrorism protection. But do we have any real basis that this would be true?
on Jul 14, 2004
Draginol, I don't know what you're laughing about. Did you read this part:

"I have no problem accepting that, for this or that hawk, "it was never about WMDs". I have no problem accepting that some people supported the war mainly because they wanted Saddam gone, or because they thought it was trhe best way to bring democracy to the Middle East. But the individual preferences of hawks does not change how those in power justified the march to war."

I have said in the past that I accepted that, FOR YOU, WMD was not the main issue. I'm talking about how the war was sold by those in power.
on Jul 14, 2004
CrispE,

America is in danger no matter who is in the White House, that is the sad reality. However, I would argue that the invasion of Iraq has made the US less safe rather than more.
on Jul 15, 2004
The general WMD justification for the war is that Saddam (has/is making/is planning to make) WMD, and would give them to terrorists.

The urgency of this threat is certainly affected by how advanced Saddam's WMD capabilities are. The underlying threat is still the same. Unless Saddam was prevented from acquiring WMD, or if he decided to stop trying to acquire WMD, or if he chose not to give WMD to terrorists, it was only a matter of time.
on Jul 19, 2004
I'm with Madine. Let's invade North Korea pronto. OG, Johnsoup, can we stay at your place en route?
on Jul 19, 2004
Madine,
It may indeed only have been a matter of time, but the question of how long is crucial. His WMD capability has been seen to have gone backwards since the first gulf war and IF (a very big if there) sanctions had remained in force that matyter of time could have been centuries. As for giving WMD to terrorists, he had never done this and there was no indication or even suggesion that he ever would. Some future threat is not justification for war. Needs to be imminent.

Paul.
on Jul 19, 2004
O. G.,
nice article. Like you I find it inexcusable that those in power will not stand up and either admit the mistake THEY made (not those the intelligence community made) or admit the lies they told. On both sides of the atlantic the governments have been focussing the attention on the intelligent agencies and saying 'they' got it wrong. What I would really like is for someone to admit what the government got wrong. I don't actually want them to fall on their swords, just to start being a bit more honest with the electorate.

Personally I won't be voting for Blair next time around, because his integrity is now in question. I can live with people making mistakes, but not refusing the admit them.

Paul.
on Jul 20, 2004
Paul,

Forgive me, I'm confused. Where do you stand on the war these days?

on Jul 20, 2004
Oh I still support the war and the rebuilding effort.

Like I said from before the war started, WMD were not a good reason to base the war on. The proof was not there before the war and it certainly is not there now.

I believed that Saddam did need to be removed as the only viable solution to long term stability in the region. It should have been done in 1991. It should have been done in 1998.

My major gripes about the war were the lies being told as to why we were going to war (WMD) and then the awful way the occupation was initially run.

Paul.